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Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Chinese stimulus cash is inflating new stock market bubble, officials warn


Half of the 5.8 trillion yuan (£522bn) of stimulus loans issued by Chinese banks have flowed into the country's stock and property markets, inflating new bubbles, according to senior Communist officials.

Under orders from the government, China's banks have flooded the economy with new credit this year, advancing more money in the first six months than the total for 2008.

It is the biggest wave of money since the People's Republic of China was founded in 1949. The loans are part of a stimulus package to spur domestic investment and consumption and help the economy through the financial crisis.

However, a significant proportion has been diverted into shares and property, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange rising 60pc since January.

Several economists believe a large part of the government's 4 trillion yuan state aid package has also failed to reach the "real" economy.

Wei Jianing, an economist at the Development Research Center of the State Council, said 20pc of the new bank loans had reached the stock market, and 30pc had been invested in property.

According to the Chinese state media, Wei said the huge flow of money could fuel further asset bubbles. However, he was careful to note that this was not yet the view of the State Council, China's ministerial cabinet.

“When funds are circulating and swelling inside the financial system, instead of servicing the real economy, we see this as a sign of bubble formation,” said Wei. “Now the rapidly circulating funds can easily boost the stock market and produce new financial bubbles, and lift real estate prices as well.”

Another official, Cheng Siwei, the vice-chairman of the standing committee of the National People's Congress, said around 2.4 trillion yuan of the 4.58 trillion lent in the first three months of the year had been used for "real" investment, while the remainder was used for speculation.

However, Cheng also predicted that the Chinese economy will grow by 8pc this year and by more than 9pc next year.

The lack of supervision over the enormous sums being advanced has started to trouble the Communist Party, which issued a stern commentary through the People's Daily, its official mouthpiece.

"Extraordinary times call for extraordinary measures," said the commentary. "However we must at the same time improve the lending structure and guard against risks to ensure that lending supports good quality economic development".

China's bank regulator has already urged commercial banks to scrutinize borrowers to ensure loans aren't misused.

One factor that might inspire a rout in the market is the 3.2 trillion yuan of shares that will emerge from lock-up periods this year, a 53.1pc increase in value terms on the sum last year, according to the Chinese central bank. The People's Bank of China cautioned that the market would have to be watched closely for any impact.

Friday, June 26, 2009

Market opens positive on global cues


The Sensex opened positive on global cues and continued to trade higher. Realty, oil & gas, capital goods and IT stocks moved up marginally, whereas healthcare declined.

BSE Midcap and Smallcap index rose 1.11% and 1.21% respectively.

Asian stocks rose as commodity prices jumped amid optimism the US recession may ease after the economy shrank less than expected in the first quarter. Japanese benchmark index Nikkei gained 65.18 points, or 0.67%, to trade at 9,861.10. Hong Kong`s Hang Seng index rose 216.77 points, or 1.16%, to trade at 18,488.96 and China`s Shanghai Composite declined 7.29 points, or 0.25%, to trade at 2,917.76. (10.05 a.m, IST).

European stocks declined led by banks, as the Federal Reserve disappointed investors by refraining from increasing bond purchases. UK`s benchmark index FTSE 100 fell 27.41 points, or 0.64%, to settle at 4,252.57. French benchmark index CAC 40 declined 21.66 points, or 0.68%, to end 3,163.10 and Germany`s benchmark index DAX lost 35.45 points, or 0.73%, to close at 4,800.56.

Indian stock market begun the day on a positive note after a fall of 0.53% on the previous working day. The 30-share index, BSE Sensex opened with a gain of 27.95 points, at 14,373.57 on Friday.

In the previous day session, the Sensex ended with a loss of 77.11 points, or 0.53%, while the NSE Nifty declined by 51.10 points, or 1.19%. The 30-share index, Sensex after losing 51.10 yesterday, opened on a flat note on Friday. It begun the day at 14,373.57 up 27.95 points from the previous day`s close

Currently, the 30-share index Sensex is trading up 164.19 points, or 1.14%, at 14,509.81, after touching a high of 14,515.55 and a low of 14,373.57. Meanwhile the broad based Nifty is trading higher by 47.80 points, or 1.13%, at 4,289.65, after hitting a high of 4,296.35 and a low of 4,243.95. (10.00 a.m.)

Overall market breadth is positive. Out of the total 939 stocks traded at BSE, 778 advanced, 140 declined while 21 remained unchanged.

Major gainers in the 30-share index were ICICI Bank (2.43%), DLF (2.31%), Wipro (2.26%), Sterlite Industries (India) (2.18%), Larsen & Toubro (2.13%), and NTPC (2.11%).

On the other hand, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (15.75%), Housing Development Finance Corporation (0.98%), Ranbaxy Laboratories (0.92%), Tata Steel (0.79%), Mahindra & Mahindra (0.37%), and Hindustan Unilever (0.10%) were the major losers in the Sensex.


Monday, June 15, 2009

KSE amends rules for OTC market

KARACHI: Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) has introduced amendments in its regulations governing “over the counter (OTC)” market.

KSE made the amendments with the prior approval of Securities & Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) under the sub-section (1) of Section 34 of the Securities & Exchange Ordinance 1969.

The amendments are as follows

i) the securities listed should be traded through KATS under T+2 settlement system or any other counter subject to the clearing and settlement procedures.

ii) The chairman of a listed company shall ensure that minutes of the meeting of the board of directors are appropriately recorded. The minutes of the meeting shall be circulated to directors and officers entitled to attend board meetings within 14 days of the date of the meeting.

iii) All listed companies shall ensure that second quarterly financial settlements are subjected to a limited scope review by the statutory auditors in such a manner and according to such terms and conditions as may be determined by Institute of Chartered Accountants of Pakistan and approved by SECP.

iv) All listed companies shall in the form and manner specified by the commission ensure that annual audited financial statements are sent to every member of the company at least twenty-one days before the annual general meeting is to held to consider the same.

v) No listed company shall circulate its financial statements unless the CEO present the financial statements, duly endorsed under his respective signatures for consideration and approval of the board of directors and board after consideration and approval, authorize the signing of financial statements for the issuance and circulation. staff report